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IFK Goteborg vs Brondby — Friendlies Clubs 2026

IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
Canc
17:00
Brondby
Brondby
2/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Estádio Municipal Bela Vista

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

IFK Goteborg33%
×Draw24%
Brondby43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IFK Goteborg
1.40
Brondby
1.64

Brondby creates 17% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

IFK Goteborg
1.80
Brondby
1.67

allows per match

IFK Goteborg
1.60
Brondby
1.00

finishing

IFK Goteborg+0.00on par
Brondby+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Goteborg ↓

Brondby →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

IFK Goteborg or draw
57%
IFK Goteborg or Brondby
76%
Draw or Brondby
67%

Winning margin

IFK Goteborg wins by 2+
15%
Brondby wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

IFK Goteborg 1+ goals
75%
IFK Goteborg 2+ goals
41%
IFK Goteborg 3+ goals
17%
Brondby 1+ goals
81%
Brondby 2+ goals
49%
Brondby 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

IFK Goteborg (draw refunded)
43%
Brondby (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Goteborg at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

Brondby away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Goteborg attack 1.80 + Brondby defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.40

Brondby attack 1.67 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

IFK Goteborg scores more
33%
level
24%
Brondby scores more
43%

Brondby at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Brondby will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: IFK Goteborg host Brondby

February 9, 2024: IFK Goteborg take on Brondby in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

IFK Goteborg host Brondby at Estádio Municipal Bela Vista.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.