Scoreo

Husqvarna vs GaisSvenska Cupen 2019

Husqvarna
Husqvarna
Preview
16:30
Gais
Gais
57%
Gais
model favours
22%21%57%

Gais have scored in 11 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Husqvarna22%
×Draw21%
Gais57%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Husqvarna
1.25
Gais
2.13

Gais creates 70% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 18 away

creates per match

Husqvarna
0.83
Gais
1.44

allows per match

Husqvarna
2.83
Gais
1.67

finishing

Husqvarna+0.00on par
Gais+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Husqvarna

Gais
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
017%
028%
036%
043%
1
104%
119%
1210%
137%
144%
2
203%
216%
226%
234%
242%
3
301%
312%
323%
332%
341%
4
400%
411%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Husqvarna or draw
43%
Husqvarna or Gais
79%
Draw or Gais
78%

Winning margin

Husqvarna wins by 2+
9%
Gais wins by 2+
35%

Team goals

Husqvarna 1+ goals
71%
Husqvarna 2+ goals
36%
Husqvarna 3+ goals
13%
Gais 1+ goals
88%
Gais 2+ goals
63%
Gais 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Husqvarna (draw refunded)
28%
Gais (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Husqvarna at homecreates 0.83, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

Gais awaycreates 1.44, concedes 1.67 · 18 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Husqvarna attack 0.83 + Gais defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.25

Gais attack 1.44 + Husqvarna defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 2.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Husqvarna scores more
22%
level
21%
Gais scores more
57%

Gais at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Gais will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Husqvarna and Gais have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Husqvarna
DWWWW
Gais
WDWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Husqvarna vs Gais — Match Preview

Husqvarna face Gais on August 27, 2026 in this Svenska Cupen fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.