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Huntsville City vs Atlanta United II — MLS Next Pro 2026

Huntsville City
Huntsville City
Preview
00:00
Atlanta United II
Atlanta United II
7/19/2026MLS Next ProMLS Next Pro · Group StageJoe W. Davis Stadium
Big match
53%
Huntsville City
model favours
53%20%27%

Atlanta United II score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
76%
over 2.5 goals
73%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Huntsville City53%
×Draw20%
Atlanta United II27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huntsville City
2.33
Atlanta United II
1.65

Huntsville City creates 41% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 36 away

creates per match

Huntsville City
2.28
Atlanta United II
1.61

allows per match

Huntsville City
1.69
Atlanta United II
2.39

finishing

Huntsville City+0.00on par
Atlanta United II+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huntsville City ↓

Atlanta United II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Huntsville City or draw
73%
Huntsville City or Atlanta United II
80%
Draw or Atlanta United II
47%

Winning margin

Huntsville City wins by 2+
32%
Atlanta United II wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Huntsville City 1+ goals
90%
Huntsville City 2+ goals
67%
Huntsville City 3+ goals
41%
Atlanta United II 1+ goals
81%
Atlanta United II 2+ goals
49%
Atlanta United II 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Huntsville City (draw refunded)
66%
Atlanta United II (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huntsville City at home — creates 2.28, concedes 1.69 · 36 matches

Atlanta United II away — creates 1.61, concedes 2.39 · 36 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huntsville City attack 2.28 + Atlanta United II defence 2.39 → ÷2 → 2.33

Atlanta United II attack 1.61 + Huntsville City defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Huntsville City scores more
53%
level
20%
Atlanta United II scores more
27%

Huntsville City at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Huntsville City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Atlanta United II have scored in 8 games running
  • 53% of Huntsville City’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • 73% of Huntsville City’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 53% of Atlanta United II’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 65% over 2.5)
  • Both teams score in 71% of Atlanta United II’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
City
DDLLL
II
WWDLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Huntsville City host Atlanta United II

July 19, 2026: Huntsville City take on Atlanta United II in MLS Next Pro. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Huntsville City host Atlanta United II at Joe W. Davis Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.