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Huddersfield vs Swansea — Premier League 2026

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Swansea
Swansea
3/10/2018Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 30John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Huddersfield37%
×Draw28%
Swansea35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.17
Swansea
1.13

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 29 home / 60 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
0.66
Swansea
0.85

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.41
Swansea
1.68

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Swansea+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Swansea →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
65%
Huddersfield or Swansea
72%
Draw or Swansea
63%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
15%
Swansea wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
69%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
33%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
11%
Swansea 1+ goals
68%
Swansea 2+ goals
31%
Swansea 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
51%
Swansea (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.66, concedes 1.41 · 29 matches

Swansea away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.68 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.66 + Swansea defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.17

Swansea attack 0.85 + Huddersfield defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Huddersfield scores more
37%
level
28%
Swansea scores more
35%

Huddersfield at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

33
F. HadergjonajHuddersfieldHuddersfield · D
8.2

Match Events

11'
Jordan Ayew
19'
Alfie Mawson
50'
Martin Olsson
63'
André Ayew
65'
C. Quaner← A. Pritchard
69'
D. Williams← A. Mooy
70'
Florent Hadergjonaj
73'
T. Abraham← A. Ayew
78'
L. Depoitre← R. van La Parra
89'
T. Carroll← Ki Sung-Yeung
90'
Collin Quaner

Possession

81%Huddersfield

Shots

30Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

63%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldSwansea
Overview
81%Possession19%
30Total Shots0
12Corners0
9Fouls9
Shots
30Total Shots0
4On Target0
15Off Target0
11Blocked0
18Inside Box0
12Outside Box0
Passing
81%Possession19%
679Total Passes169
608Accurate Passes88
90%Pass Accuracy52%
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
Discipline
9Fouls9
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Offsides3

Match Recap: Huddersfield vs Swansea

Huddersfield and Swansea drew 0-0 in Premier League on March 10, 2018.

Huddersfield controlled possession (81%) and registered 30 shots to 0.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield.