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Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Preview
14:00
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
10/10/2026League OneLeague One · Round 10Accu Stadium
Big match
40%
Huddersfield
model favours
40%27%34%

Sheffield Wednesday score first in only 30% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Huddersfield40%
×Draw27%
Sheffield Wednesday34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.34
Sheffield Wednesday
1.22

Huddersfield creates 10% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 53 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.47
Sheffield Wednesday
1.30

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.14
Sheffield Wednesday
1.21

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Sheffield Wednesday+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Sheffield Wednesday →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
66%
Huddersfield or Sheffield Wednesday
73%
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday
60%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
18%
Sheffield Wednesday wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
74%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
39%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
15%
Sheffield Wednesday 1+ goals
70%
Sheffield Wednesday 2+ goals
34%
Sheffield Wednesday 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
54%
Sheffield Wednesday (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.14 · 51 matches

Sheffield Wednesday away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.21 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.47 + Sheffield Wednesday defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.34

Sheffield Wednesday attack 1.30 + Huddersfield defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Huddersfield scores more
40%
level
27%
Sheffield Wednesday scores more
34%

Huddersfield at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 30% of Sheffield Wednesday’s matches
  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.8 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
Sheffield Wednesday
Balanced
52%Possession50%
73%Pass accuracyBiggest gap69%
12.6Shots12.8
1.81xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
HuddersfieldSheffield Wednesday

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

2
Huddersfield
3
Draws
1
Sheffield Wednesday
Avg goals: 1.7BTTS: 17%
4–00–01–12–00–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Huddersfield
LLWLW
Wednesday
WDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Huddersfield face Sheffield Wednesday (League One)

League One returns with Huddersfield hosting Sheffield Wednesday. Match starts October 10, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Huddersfield host Sheffield Wednesday at Accu Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.