Huddersfield 0–0 Rotherham: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rotherham

4/10/2021

Championship · Round 41John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 12+ matches

Huddersfield52%

×Draw25%

Rotherham23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchRotherham

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.57

0.96

Huddersfield

1.57

Rotherham

0.96

Huddersfield creates 64% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 12 away

1.08

creates per match

0.47

1.46

allows per match

2.06

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.08

Rotherham

0.47

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.46

Rotherham

2.06

+0.00on par

finishing

-0.05on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Rotherham-0.05on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Rotherham →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

77%

Huddersfield or Rotherham

75%

Draw or Rotherham

48%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

27%

Rotherham wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

79%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

46%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

21%

Rotherham 1+ goals

62%

Rotherham 2+ goals

25%

Rotherham 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

69%

Rotherham (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.46 · 13 matches

Rotherham away — creates 0.47, concedes 2.06 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.08 + Rotherham defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 1.57

Rotherham attack 0.47 + Huddersfield defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Huddersfield scores more

52%

level

25%

Rotherham scores more

23%

Huddersfield at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

31

R. Schofield

Huddersfield · G

8.2

Match Events

52'

S. Thomas← Pipa Ávila

73'

R. Giles← M. Olosunde

74'

D. Ward← F. Campbell

81'

D. Barlaser← J. Lindsay

82'

S. High← J. Bacuna

82'

I. Mbenza← D. Holmes

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldRotherham

Overview

57%Possession43%

9Total Shots13

6Corners9

12Fouls5

Shots

9Total Shots13

4On Target4

3Off Target6

2Blocked3

8Inside Box8

1Outside Box5

Passing

57%Possession43%

355Total Passes245

244Accurate Passes137

69%Pass Accuracy56%

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

Discipline

12Fouls5

0Offsides1