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Huddersfield vs Mansfield Town — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Preview
15:00
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
2/20/2027League OneLeague One · Round 32Accu Stadium
Big match
51%
Huddersfield
model favours
51%25%24%

Huddersfield have won 4 of the last 5 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Huddersfield51%
×Draw25%
Mansfield Town24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.61
Mansfield Town
1.01

Huddersfield creates 59% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.94
Mansfield Town
0.98

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.04
Mansfield Town
1.28

finishing

Huddersfield+0.20scores more
Mansfield Town+0.11scores more

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Mansfield Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
76%
Huddersfield or Mansfield Town
75%
Draw or Mansfield Town
49%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
27%
Mansfield Town wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
80%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
48%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
22%
Mansfield Town 1+ goals
64%
Mansfield Town 2+ goals
27%
Mansfield Town 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
68%
Mansfield Town (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.04 · 14 matches

Mansfield Town away — creates 0.98, concedes 1.28 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.94 + Mansfield Town defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.61

Mansfield Town attack 0.98 + Huddersfield defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Huddersfield scores more
51%
level
25%
Mansfield Town scores more
24%

Huddersfield at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 meetings
  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.8 expected)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
Mansfield Town
Balanced
52%Possession48%
74%Pass accuracy71%
12.9Shots11.8
1.81xGBiggest gap1.37
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
HuddersfieldMansfield Town

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

4
Huddersfield
0
Draws
1
Mansfield Town
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 100%
1–43–13–12–12–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Huddersfield
LLWLW
Town
LWDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Huddersfield host Mansfield Town

February 20, 2027: Huddersfield take on Mansfield Town in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Huddersfield host Mansfield Town at Accu Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.