Hradec Králové vs Slavia Praha

Hradec Králové

Preview

14:00

Slavia Praha

3/13/2027

Czech Liga · Round 25FINEP Arena

Big match

49%

Slavia Praha

model favours

26%24%49%

Hradec Králové have scored in 8 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

53%

over 2.5 goals

55%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Hradec Králové26%

×Draw24%

Slavia Praha49%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hradec KrálovéExpected goals in this matchSlavia Praha

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

1.65

Hradec Králové

1.14

Slavia Praha

1.65

Slavia Praha creates 45% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 15 away

1.25

creates per match

1.67

1.62

allows per match

1.02

creates per match

Hradec Králové

1.25

Slavia Praha

1.67

allows per match

Hradec Králové

1.62

Slavia Praha

1.02

+0.55scores more than expected

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hradec Králové+0.55scores more

Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hradec Králové ↓

Slavia Praha →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–110%

0–28%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–112%

1–210%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Hradec Králové or draw

51%

Hradec Králové or Slavia Praha

76%

Draw or Slavia Praha

74%

Winning margin

Hradec Králové wins by 2+

10%

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

26%

Team goals

Hradec Králové 1+ goals

68%

Hradec Králové 2+ goals

32%

Hradec Králové 3+ goals

11%

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

81%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

49%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Hradec Králové (draw refunded)

35%

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hradec Králové at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.62 · 5 matches

Slavia Praha away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.02 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hradec Králové attack 1.25 + Slavia Praha defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.14

Slavia Praha attack 1.67 + Hradec Králové defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Hradec Králové scores more

26%

level

24%

Slavia Praha scores more

49%

Slavia Praha at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

Slavia Praha score first in only 32% of matches
73% of Slavia Praha’s matches go over 2.5 goals
Hradec Králové win just 35% against the top half (vs 60% against the bottom)
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
Style contrast — Hradec Králové play Direct / counter-attacking, Slavia Praha Possession-dominant
25% of Slavia Praha’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles

Hradec Králové

Direct / counter-attacking

Slavia Praha

Possession-dominant

39%Possession59%

70%Pass accuracy77%

7.9ShotsBiggest gap18.2

1.00xG2.18

Hradec KrálovéSlavia Praha

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

4

Hradec Králové

3

Draws

3

Slavia Praha

Avg goals: 3.1BTTS: 80%

3–12–12–21–21–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

Králové

DWW

Praha

WLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hradec Králové face Slavia Praha (Czech Liga)

Czech Liga returns with Hradec Králové hosting Slavia Praha. Match starts March 13, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Hradec Králové host Slavia Praha at FINEP Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Hradec Králové vs Slavia Praha — Czech Liga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Insights

Style Matchup

Head-to-head

Head to Head

Hradec Králové face Slavia Praha (Czech Liga)