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Hradec Králové U19 vs Zlín U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Hradec Králové U19
Hradec Králové U19
Preview
14:00
Zlín U19
Zlín U19
10/10/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 10
Big match
44%
Hradec Králové U19
model favours
44%23%33%

Zlín U19 win just 27% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Hradec Králové U1944%
×Draw23%
Zlín U1933%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hradec Králové U19
1.75
Zlín U19
1.49

Hradec Králové U19 creates 17% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 79 away

creates per match

Hradec Králové U19
1.61
Zlín U19
1.62

allows per match

Hradec Králové U19
1.35
Zlín U19
1.89

finishing

Hradec Králové U19+0.00on par
Zlín U19+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hradec Králové U19 ↓

Zlín U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Hradec Králové U19 or draw
67%
Hradec Králové U19 or Zlín U19
77%
Draw or Zlín U19
56%

Winning margin

Hradec Králové U19 wins by 2+
23%
Zlín U19 wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Hradec Králové U19 1+ goals
83%
Hradec Králové U19 2+ goals
52%
Hradec Králové U19 3+ goals
25%
Zlín U19 1+ goals
77%
Zlín U19 2+ goals
44%
Zlín U19 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Hradec Králové U19 (draw refunded)
57%
Zlín U19 (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hradec Králové U19 at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.35 · 49 matches

Zlín U19 away — creates 1.62, concedes 1.89 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hradec Králové U19 attack 1.61 + Zlín U19 defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.75

Zlín U19 attack 1.62 + Hradec Králové U19 defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Hradec Králové U19 scores more
44%
level
23%
Zlín U19 scores more
33%

Hradec Králové U19 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Hradec Králové U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Hradec Králové U19 sit 1, Zlín U19 14 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U19
LLWWW
U19
LLWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hradec Králové U19 host Zlín U19

October 10, 2026: Hradec Králové U19 take on Zlín U19 in 1. Liga U19. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.