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Hradec Králové U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Hradec Králové U19
Hradec Králové U19
Preview
15:00
Slavia Praha U19
Slavia Praha U19
8/8/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 1
44%
Hradec Králové U19
model favours
44%21%35%
2–1
likely score
75%
over 2.5 goals
73%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Hradec Králové U1944%
×Draw21%
Slavia Praha U1935%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hradec Králové U19
2.07
Slavia Praha U19
1.84

Hradec Králové U19 creates 12% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 15 away

creates per match

Hradec Králové U19
1.61
Slavia Praha U19
2.33

allows per match

Hradec Králové U19
1.35
Slavia Praha U19
2.53

finishing

Hradec Králové U19+0.00on par
Slavia Praha U19+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hradec Králové U19 ↓

Slavia Praha U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Hradec Králové U19 or draw
65%
Hradec Králové U19 or Slavia Praha U19
79%
Draw or Slavia Praha U19
56%

Winning margin

Hradec Králové U19 wins by 2+
25%
Slavia Praha U19 wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Hradec Králové U19 1+ goals
87%
Hradec Králové U19 2+ goals
61%
Hradec Králové U19 3+ goals
34%
Slavia Praha U19 1+ goals
84%
Slavia Praha U19 2+ goals
55%
Slavia Praha U19 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Hradec Králové U19 (draw refunded)
56%
Slavia Praha U19 (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hradec Králové U19 at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.35 · 49 matches

Slavia Praha U19 away — creates 2.33, concedes 2.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hradec Králové U19 attack 1.61 + Slavia Praha U19 defence 2.53 → ÷2 → 2.07

Slavia Praha U19 attack 2.33 + Hradec Králové U19 defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Hradec Králové U19 scores more
44%
level
21%
Slavia Praha U19 scores more
35%

Hradec Králové U19 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Hradec Králové U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
U19
LLWWW
U19
LLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hradec Králové U19 face Slavia Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 returns with Hradec Králové U19 hosting Slavia Praha U19. Match starts August 8, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.