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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Houston 42%Draw 27%31% Portland
1.38Expected xG1.15

Over / Under 2.5

46%

Over

54%

Under

Both Score

51%

Yes

49%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

13%

1-0

11%

0-1

9%

xG Profile (23 home / 28 away matches)

Houston Dynamo

xG 1.04 · xGA 1.09

+0 vs xG

Portland Timbers

xG 1.21 · xGA 1.71

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Shell Energy Stadium
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
FT
3 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
M. Bogusz 90'
Felipe Andrade 77'
Guilherme 62'
K. Velde 80'
G. Guerra 45'
Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:30 AM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 4
Referee
R. Vazquez
Venue
Shell Energy Stadium, Houston

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Houston Dynamo

Over / Under 2.5

52%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52652%
  • Under 2.52448%

Both teams scored

54%BTTS
  • Yes2754%
  • No2346%

Portland Timbers

Over / Under 2.5

55%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53655%
  • Under 2.52945%

Both teams scored

55%BTTS
  • Yes3655%
  • No2945%

Player of the match

20
GuilhermeHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo · F
9.3

Match Events

24'
Kamal Miller
45+1'
Ezequiel Ponce
45+5'
Ariel Lassiter
45'
Finn SurmanPenalty confirmed
45'
G. Guerra
46'
H. Herrera← E. Ponce
58'
Jímer Fory
62'
Guilherme↳ M. Bogusz
63'
J. Ortiz← D. Da Costa
69'
O. Lingr← D. Samassekou
70'
A. Resch← Lucas Halter
71'
F. Mora← A. Lassiter
71'
I. Smith← A. Aravena
77'
Felipe Andrade↳ Guilherme
80'
K. Velde↳ F. Surman
81'
N. Markanich← D. Holmes
85'
Felipe Mora
90+13'
Guilherme
90+3'
Nick Markanich
90+8'
I. Aliyu← L. Ennali
90+10'
K. Kelsy← G. Guerra
90'
M. Bogusz↳ J. McGlynn

Possession

48%Houston

Shots

19Houston

Pass accuracy

50%Houston

Statistics

HoustonPortland
Overview
48%Possession52%
19Total Shots17
1.20Expected Goals (xG)2.37
10Corners6
12Fouls9
Shots
19Total Shots17
6On Target9
7Off Target3
6Blocked5
11Inside Box13
8Outside Box4
Passing
48%Possession52%
408Total Passes454
346Accurate Passes386
85%Pass Accuracy85%
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
-1.60Goals Prevented-1.60
Discipline
12Fouls9
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
0Offsides2

Match Recap: Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers

Houston Dynamo beat Portland Timbers 3-2 in Major League Soccer on March 15, 2026.

Goals: G. Guerra (45'), Guilherme (62'), Felipe Andrade (77'), K. Velde (80'), M. Bogusz (90').

Portland Timbers controlled possession (52%) and registered 17 shots to 19.

The match was played at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston.