Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb — 1. Division 2026

Haugesund
Haugesund
Preview
16:00
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
11/8/20261. Division1. Division · Round 30Haugesund Stadion
Big match
61%
Haugesund
model favours
61%19%19%

Both teams score in 92% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
69%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Haugesund61%
×Draw19%
ODD Ballklubb19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haugesund
2.35
ODD Ballklubb
1.25

Haugesund creates 88% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 21 away

creates per match

Haugesund
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
1.33

allows per match

Haugesund
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.71

finishing

Haugesund+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 69Under: 3169%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 64No: 3664%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw
81%
Haugesund or ODD Ballklubb
81%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
39%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+
39%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals
90%
Haugesund 2+ goals
68%
Haugesund 3+ goals
41%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
71%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
36%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)
76%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.71 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 3.00 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 2.35

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.33 + Haugesund defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Haugesund scores more
61%
level
19%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
19%

Haugesund at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both sides lean high-scoring (82% and 77% over 2.5)
  • Haugesund have scored in 11 games running
  • 82% of Haugesund’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Haugesund have won 3 in a row
  • 77% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb score first in only 31% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Haugesund
WWLWW
Ballklubb
LDDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Haugesund host ODD Ballklubb

November 8, 2026: Haugesund take on ODD Ballklubb in 1. Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Haugesund host ODD Ballklubb at Haugesund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.