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Hässleholms IF vs Landskrona BoIS — Svenska Cupen 2019

Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF
Preview
16:30
Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
8/20/2026Svenska CupenSvenska Cupen · Final
57%
Landskrona BoIS
model favours
23%20%57%

Both teams score in 70% of Hässleholms IF’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
73%
over 2.5 goals
69%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Hässleholms IF23%
×Draw20%
Landskrona BoIS57%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hässleholms IF
1.44
Landskrona BoIS
2.35

Landskrona BoIS creates 63% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 16 away

creates per match

Hässleholms IF
1.20
Landskrona BoIS
1.50

allows per match

Hässleholms IF
3.20
Landskrona BoIS
1.69

finishing

Hässleholms IF+0.00on par
Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hässleholms IF ↓

Landskrona BoIS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–26%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–03%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Hässleholms IF or draw
43%
Hässleholms IF or Landskrona BoIS
80%
Draw or Landskrona BoIS
77%

Winning margin

Hässleholms IF wins by 2+
10%
Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
36%

Team goals

Hässleholms IF 1+ goals
76%
Hässleholms IF 2+ goals
42%
Hässleholms IF 3+ goals
18%
Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
90%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
68%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Hässleholms IF (draw refunded)
29%
Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hässleholms IF at home — creates 1.20, concedes 3.20 · 5 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hässleholms IF attack 1.20 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.44

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.50 + Hässleholms IF defence 3.20 → ÷2 → 2.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Hässleholms IF scores more
23%
level
20%
Landskrona BoIS scores more
57%

Landskrona BoIS at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Hässleholms IF and Landskrona BoIS have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
IF
WDDLW
BoIS
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hässleholms IF face Landskrona BoIS (Svenska Cupen)

Svenska Cupen returns with Hässleholms IF hosting Landskrona BoIS. Match starts August 20, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.