Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF — Svenska Cupen 2019

Haninge
Haninge
Preview
17:00
Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF
9/10/2026Svenska CupenSvenska Cupen · Final
82%
Djurgardens IF
model favours
6%12%82%

Haninge and Djurgardens IF have never met before

brightest fact of this match

0–2
likely score
68%
over 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Haninge6%
×Draw12%
Djurgardens IF82%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haninge
0.66
Djurgardens IF
2.88

Djurgardens IF creates 336% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 16 away

creates per match

Haninge
0.50
Djurgardens IF
3.25

allows per match

Haninge
2.50
Djurgardens IF
0.81

finishing

Haninge+0.00on par
Djurgardens IF+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haninge ↓

Djurgardens IF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–19%
0–212%
0–312%
0–49%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–28%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–12%
2–23%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (12%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Haninge or draw
18%
Haninge or Djurgardens IF
88%
Draw or Djurgardens IF
94%

Winning margin

Haninge wins by 2+
1%
Djurgardens IF wins by 2+
62%

Team goals

Haninge 1+ goals
48%
Haninge 2+ goals
14%
Haninge 3+ goals
3%
Djurgardens IF 1+ goals
94%
Djurgardens IF 2+ goals
78%
Djurgardens IF 3+ goals
54%

Draw no bet

Haninge (draw refunded)
7%
Djurgardens IF (draw refunded)
93%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haninge at home — creates 0.50, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

Djurgardens IF away — creates 3.25, concedes 0.81 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haninge attack 0.50 + Djurgardens IF defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.66

Djurgardens IF attack 3.25 + Haninge defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Haninge scores more
6%
level
12%
Djurgardens IF scores more
82%

Djurgardens IF at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "Djurgardens IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Haninge
WWWWW
IF
WWDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Haninge face Djurgardens IF (Svenska Cupen)

Svenska Cupen returns with Haninge hosting Djurgardens IF. Match starts September 10, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.