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Hampton & Richmond vs Slough Town — League #51 2026

Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond
Preview
14:00
Slough Town
Slough Town
8/22/2026League #51League #51 · National League South - 4
66%
Hampton & Richmond
model favours
66%23%11%
1–0
likely score
60%
under 2.5 goals
35%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Hampton & Richmond66%
×Draw23%
Slough Town11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hampton & Richmond
1.73
Slough Town
0.55

Hampton & Richmond creates 215% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Hampton & Richmond
1.20
Slough Town
0.50

allows per match

Hampton & Richmond
0.60
Slough Town
2.25

finishing

Hampton & Richmond+0.00on par
Slough Town+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hampton & Richmond ↓

Slough Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–110%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Hampton & Richmond or draw
89%
Hampton & Richmond or Slough Town
77%
Draw or Slough Town
34%

Winning margin

Hampton & Richmond wins by 2+
39%
Slough Town wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Hampton & Richmond 1+ goals
82%
Hampton & Richmond 2+ goals
52%
Hampton & Richmond 3+ goals
25%
Slough Town 1+ goals
42%
Slough Town 2+ goals
11%
Slough Town 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Hampton & Richmond (draw refunded)
85%
Slough Town (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hampton & Richmond at home — creates 1.20, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Slough Town away — creates 0.50, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hampton & Richmond attack 1.20 + Slough Town defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.73

Slough Town attack 0.50 + Hampton & Richmond defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Hampton & Richmond scores more
66%
level
23%
Slough Town scores more
11%

Hampton & Richmond at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Hampton & Richmond will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Richmond
WWLWD
Town
LDLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hampton & Richmond host Slough Town

August 22, 2026: Hampton & Richmond take on Slough Town in League #51. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.