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Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd — League #51 2026

Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond
Preview
14:00
Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd
8/31/2026League #51League #51 · National League South - 6
49%
Maidstone Utd
model favours
19%32%49%

Hampton & Richmond and Maidstone Utd have never met before

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
75%
under 2.5 goals
31%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Hampton & Richmond19%
×Draw32%
Maidstone Utd49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hampton & Richmond
0.60
Maidstone Utd
1.14

Maidstone Utd creates 90% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Hampton & Richmond
1.20
Maidstone Utd
1.67

allows per match

Hampton & Richmond
0.60
Maidstone Utd
0.00

finishing

Hampton & Richmond+0.00on par
Maidstone Utd+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hampton & Richmond ↓

Maidstone Utd →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–120%
0–211%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–14%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
52%48%2.5
25%75%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Hampton & Richmond or draw
51%
Hampton & Richmond or Maidstone Utd
68%
Draw or Maidstone Utd
81%

Winning margin

Hampton & Richmond wins by 2+
5%
Maidstone Utd wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Hampton & Richmond 1+ goals
45%
Hampton & Richmond 2+ goals
12%
Hampton & Richmond 3+ goals
2%
Maidstone Utd 1+ goals
68%
Maidstone Utd 2+ goals
32%
Maidstone Utd 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Hampton & Richmond (draw refunded)
28%
Maidstone Utd (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hampton & Richmond at home — creates 1.20, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Maidstone Utd away — creates 1.67, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hampton & Richmond attack 1.20 + Maidstone Utd defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.60

Maidstone Utd attack 1.67 + Hampton & Richmond defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Hampton & Richmond scores more
19%
level
32%
Maidstone Utd scores more
49%

Maidstone Utd at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Maidstone Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Richmond
WWLWD
Utd
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hampton & Richmond host Maidstone Utd

August 31, 2026: Hampton & Richmond take on Maidstone Utd in League #51. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.