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Halmstad vs Mjallby AIF — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Halmstad
Halmstad
CANC
14:00
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
3/16/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Söndrums IP konstgräs

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Halmstad35%
×Draw23%
Mjallby AIF42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Halmstad
1.55
Mjallby AIF
1.70

Mjallby AIF creates 10% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 8 away

creates per match

Halmstad
1.60
Mjallby AIF
2.00

allows per match

Halmstad
1.40
Mjallby AIF
1.50

finishing

Halmstad+0.00on par
Mjallby AIF+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Halmstad ↓

Mjallby AIF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Halmstad or draw
58%
Halmstad or Mjallby AIF
77%
Draw or Mjallby AIF
65%

Winning margin

Halmstad wins by 2+
17%
Mjallby AIF wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Halmstad 1+ goals
79%
Halmstad 2+ goals
46%
Halmstad 3+ goals
20%
Mjallby AIF 1+ goals
82%
Mjallby AIF 2+ goals
51%
Mjallby AIF 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Halmstad (draw refunded)
46%
Mjallby AIF (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Halmstad at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

Mjallby AIF away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Halmstad attack 1.60 + Mjallby AIF defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.55

Mjallby AIF attack 2.00 + Halmstad defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Halmstad scores more
35%
level
23%
Mjallby AIF scores more
42%

Mjallby AIF at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Mjallby AIF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Halmstad vs Mjallby AIF — Match Preview

Halmstad face Mjallby AIF on March 16, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Halmstad host Mjallby AIF at Söndrums IP konstgräs.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.