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Halifax Tides W vs Montreal Roses W — Northern Super League 2026

Halifax Tides W
Halifax Tides W
Preview
16:00
Montreal Roses W
Montreal Roses W
9/27/2026Northern Super LeagueNorthern Super League
Big match
48%
Montreal Roses W
model favours
26%26%48%
0–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Halifax Tides W26%
×Draw26%
Montreal Roses W48%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Halifax Tides W
1.00
Montreal Roses W
1.47

Montreal Roses W creates 47% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 19 away

creates per match

Halifax Tides W
0.95
Montreal Roses W
1.47

allows per match

Halifax Tides W
1.47
Montreal Roses W
1.05

finishing

Halifax Tides W+0.00on par
Montreal Roses W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Halifax Tides W ↓

Montreal Roses W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–112%
0–29%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Halifax Tides W or draw
52%
Halifax Tides W or Montreal Roses W
74%
Draw or Montreal Roses W
74%

Winning margin

Halifax Tides W wins by 2+
9%
Montreal Roses W wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Halifax Tides W 1+ goals
63%
Halifax Tides W 2+ goals
26%
Halifax Tides W 3+ goals
8%
Montreal Roses W 1+ goals
77%
Montreal Roses W 2+ goals
43%
Montreal Roses W 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Halifax Tides W (draw refunded)
35%
Montreal Roses W (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Halifax Tides W at home — creates 0.95, concedes 1.47 · 19 matches

Montreal Roses W away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.05 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Halifax Tides W attack 0.95 + Montreal Roses W defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.00

Montreal Roses W attack 1.47 + Halifax Tides W defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Halifax Tides W scores more
26%
level
26%
Montreal Roses W scores more
48%

Montreal Roses W at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Montreal Roses W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
LLWD
W
WWLDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Halifax Tides W host Montreal Roses W

September 27, 2026: Halifax Tides W take on Montreal Roses W in Northern Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.