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H&W Welders vs Dungannon Swifts — Friendlies Clubs 2026

H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Preview
14:00
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
59%
Dungannon Swifts
model favours
22%19%59%

H&W Welders score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
77%
over 2.5 goals
72%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

H&W Welders22%
×Draw19%
Dungannon Swifts59%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

H&W Welders
1.52
Dungannon Swifts
2.55

Dungannon Swifts creates 68% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 4 away

creates per match

H&W Welders
1.80
Dungannon Swifts
3.00

allows per match

H&W Welders
2.10
Dungannon Swifts
1.25

finishing

H&W Welders+0.00on par
Dungannon Swifts+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

H&W Welders ↓

Dungannon Swifts →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–26%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

H&W Welders or draw
41%
H&W Welders or Dungannon Swifts
81%
Draw or Dungannon Swifts
78%

Winning margin

H&W Welders wins by 2+
10%
Dungannon Swifts wins by 2+
39%

Team goals

H&W Welders 1+ goals
78%
H&W Welders 2+ goals
45%
H&W Welders 3+ goals
20%
Dungannon Swifts 1+ goals
92%
Dungannon Swifts 2+ goals
72%
Dungannon Swifts 3+ goals
46%

Draw no bet

H&W Welders (draw refunded)
27%
Dungannon Swifts (draw refunded)
73%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

H&W Welders at home — creates 1.80, concedes 2.10 · 10 matches

Dungannon Swifts away — creates 3.00, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

H&W Welders attack 1.80 + Dungannon Swifts defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.52

Dungannon Swifts attack 3.00 + H&W Welders defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

H&W Welders scores more
22%
level
19%
Dungannon Swifts scores more
59%

Dungannon Swifts at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Dungannon Swifts will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 73% of H&W Welders’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • H&W Welders and Dungannon Swifts have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Welders
LLWDW
Swifts
WWDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: H&W Welders host Dungannon Swifts

July 25, 2026: H&W Welders take on Dungannon Swifts in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.