Scoreo

H&H Export vs Juventus ManaguaPrimera Division 2026

H&H Export
H&H Export
FT
33
HT: 11
Juventus Managua
Juventus Managua
B. Zúniga 76'
L. Galeano 58', 42'
D. Cadena 86', 55'
J. Arteaga 22'
10/23/2021Primera DivisionPrimera Division · Apertura - 14Estadio Municipal de Matagalpa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

H&H Export50%
×Draw24%
Juventus Managua25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

H&H Export
1.66
Juventus Managua
1.10

H&H Export creates 51% more chances

Season form · 95 home / 74 away

creates per match

H&H Export
1.63
Juventus Managua
0.86

allows per match

H&H Export
1.34
Juventus Managua
1.69

finishing

H&H Export+0.00on par
Juventus Managua+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 52Under: 4852%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes: 54No: 4654%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

H&H Export

Juventus Managua
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
017%
024%
031%
040%
1
1011%
1112%
126%
132%
141%
2
209%
2110%
225%
232%
241%
3
305%
315%
323%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

H&H Export or draw
75%
H&H Export or Juventus Managua
76%
Draw or Juventus Managua
50%

Winning margin

H&H Export wins by 2+
27%
Juventus Managua wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

H&H Export 1+ goals
81%
H&H Export 2+ goals
49%
H&H Export 3+ goals
23%
Juventus Managua 1+ goals
67%
Juventus Managua 2+ goals
30%
Juventus Managua 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

H&H Export (draw refunded)
67%
Juventus Managua (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

H&H Export at homecreates 1.63, concedes 1.34 · 95 matches

Juventus Managua awaycreates 0.86, concedes 1.69 · 74 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

H&H Export attack 1.63 + Juventus Managua defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.66

Juventus Managua attack 0.86 + H&H Export defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

H&H Export scores more
50%
level
24%
Juventus Managua scores more
25%

H&H Export at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "H&H Export will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

H&H
Juventus
C. Martino
Manager: C. Martino
46'B. VélizC. Castillo
63'R. GarcíaM. Pucharella
79'C. RojasB. Zúniga
84'J. MatamorosS. Barquero
84'R. AlarconF. Herrera
A. Morales
Manager: A. Morales
46'A. CamposC. López
54'L. BonillaJ. Arteaga
65'E. HernándezE. Pastrán
77'E. GarcíaA. Chavarria

H&H Export 3 – 3 Juventus Managua

H&H Export and Juventus Managua drew 3-3 in Primera Division on October 23, 2021.

Goals: J. Arteaga (22'), L. Galeano (42', 58'), D. Cadena (55', 86'), B. Zúniga (76').

The match was played at Estadio Municipal de Matagalpa in Matagalpa.