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Gumi Sportstoto W vs Seoul W — WK-League 2026

Gumi Sportstoto W
Gumi Sportstoto W
Preview
05:00
Seoul W
Seoul W
9/5/2026WK-LeagueWK-League · Round 24
Big match
42%
Gumi Sportstoto W
model favours
42%24%34%

Gumi Sportstoto W score first in only 9% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
57%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Gumi Sportstoto W42%
×Draw24%
Seoul W34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gumi Sportstoto W
1.57
Seoul W
1.40

Gumi Sportstoto W creates 12% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 81 away

creates per match

Gumi Sportstoto W
1.13
Seoul W
1.07

allows per match

Gumi Sportstoto W
1.73
Seoul W
2.01

finishing

Gumi Sportstoto W+0.00on par
Seoul W+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gumi Sportstoto W ↓

Seoul W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Gumi Sportstoto W or draw
66%
Gumi Sportstoto W or Seoul W
76%
Draw or Seoul W
58%

Winning margin

Gumi Sportstoto W wins by 2+
21%
Seoul W wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Gumi Sportstoto W 1+ goals
79%
Gumi Sportstoto W 2+ goals
46%
Gumi Sportstoto W 3+ goals
21%
Seoul W 1+ goals
75%
Seoul W 2+ goals
41%
Seoul W 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Gumi Sportstoto W (draw refunded)
55%
Seoul W (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gumi Sportstoto W at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.73 · 79 matches

Seoul W away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.01 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gumi Sportstoto W attack 1.13 + Seoul W defence 2.01 → ÷2 → 1.57

Seoul W attack 1.07 + Gumi Sportstoto W defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Gumi Sportstoto W scores more
42%
level
24%
Seoul W scores more
34%

Gumi Sportstoto W at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Gumi Sportstoto W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Seoul W score first in only 10% of matches
  • 67% of Seoul W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Gumi Sportstoto W win just 12% against the top half (vs 45% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LDLD
W
LLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Gumi Sportstoto W face Seoul W (WK-League)

WK-League returns with Gumi Sportstoto W hosting Seoul W. Match starts September 5, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.