Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Gumi Sportstoto W vs Incheon Red Angels W — WK-League 2026

Gumi Sportstoto W
Gumi Sportstoto W
Preview
10:00
Incheon Red Angels W
Incheon Red Angels W
10/7/2026WK-LeagueWK-League · Round 26
Big match
54%
Incheon Red Angels W
model favours
21%24%54%

Gumi Sportstoto W score first in only 9% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Gumi Sportstoto W21%
×Draw24%
Incheon Red Angels W54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gumi Sportstoto W
0.96
Incheon Red Angels W
1.69

Incheon Red Angels W creates 76% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 80 away

creates per match

Gumi Sportstoto W
1.13
Incheon Red Angels W
1.66

allows per match

Gumi Sportstoto W
1.73
Incheon Red Angels W
0.80

finishing

Gumi Sportstoto W+0.00on par
Incheon Red Angels W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gumi Sportstoto W ↓

Incheon Red Angels W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–112%
0–210%
0–36%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–210%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Gumi Sportstoto W or draw
46%
Gumi Sportstoto W or Incheon Red Angels W
76%
Draw or Incheon Red Angels W
79%

Winning margin

Gumi Sportstoto W wins by 2+
7%
Incheon Red Angels W wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Gumi Sportstoto W 1+ goals
62%
Gumi Sportstoto W 2+ goals
25%
Gumi Sportstoto W 3+ goals
7%
Incheon Red Angels W 1+ goals
82%
Incheon Red Angels W 2+ goals
50%
Incheon Red Angels W 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Gumi Sportstoto W (draw refunded)
28%
Incheon Red Angels W (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gumi Sportstoto W at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.73 · 79 matches

Incheon Red Angels W away — creates 1.66, concedes 0.80 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gumi Sportstoto W attack 1.13 + Incheon Red Angels W defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.96

Incheon Red Angels W attack 1.66 + Gumi Sportstoto W defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Gumi Sportstoto W scores more
21%
level
24%
Incheon Red Angels W scores more
54%

Incheon Red Angels W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Incheon Red Angels W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Incheon Red Angels W score first in only 11% of matches
  • Gumi Sportstoto W win just 12% against the top half (vs 45% against the bottom)
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged just 1.2 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LDLD
W
LDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Gumi Sportstoto W host Incheon Red Angels W

October 7, 2026: Gumi Sportstoto W take on Incheon Red Angels W in WK-League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.