Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
42%
Over
58%
Under
Both Score
47%
Yes
53%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13%
1-1
13%
0-0
9%
xG Profile (5 home / 7 away matches)
Gremio
xG 1.57 · xGA 1.17
+0.03 vs xG
Atletico-MG
xG 0.84 · xGA 1.19
+0.02 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Feb 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
- Tournament
- Serie A · Serie A · Regular Season - 4
- Referee
- R. Claus
- Venue
- Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Gremio
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51440%
- Under 2.52160%
Both teams scored
- Yes1954%
- No1646%
Atletico-MG
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51331%
- Under 2.52969%
Both teams scored
- Yes1536%
- No2764%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Vitoria
Internacional
Santos
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Mirassol
Chapecoense-scIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Gremio host Atletico-MG on Thursday, 26 February 2026 at 00:30. The match is part of the Serie A 2026/2027 season.
Gremio 2 – 1 Atletico-MG
Gremio beat Atletico-MG 2-1 in Serie A on February 26, 2026.
The match was played at Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre.