Granada vs Real Sociedad W: Preview & Prediction

Granada

Preview

15:00

Real Sociedad W

9/6/2026

Primera División Femenina · Round 2Ciudad Deportiva del Granada

Big match

43%

Real Sociedad W

model favours

32%25%43%

Granada win just 18% against the top half (vs 59% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

56%

over 2.5 goals

59%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada32%

×Draw25%

Real Sociedad W43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GranadaExpected goals in this matchReal Sociedad W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.34

1.58

Granada

1.34

Real Sociedad W

1.58

Real Sociedad W creates 18% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 119 away

1.22

creates per match

1.65

1.51

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Granada

1.22

Real Sociedad W

1.65

allows per match

Granada

1.51

Real Sociedad W

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Granada+0.00on par

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada ↓

Real Sociedad W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–19%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Granada or draw

57%

Granada or Real Sociedad W

75%

Draw or Real Sociedad W

68%

Winning margin

Granada wins by 2+

14%

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Granada 1+ goals

74%

Granada 2+ goals

39%

Granada 3+ goals

15%

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals

79%

Real Sociedad W 2+ goals

47%

Real Sociedad W 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Granada (draw refunded)

43%

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)

57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.51 · 45 matches

Real Sociedad W away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.46 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada attack 1.22 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.34

Real Sociedad W attack 1.65 + Granada defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Granada scores more

32%

level

25%

Real Sociedad W scores more

43%

Real Sociedad W at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

Real Sociedad W win just 24% against the top half (vs 69% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles

Granada

Balanced

Real Sociedad W

Balanced

47%Possession53%

71%Pass accuracy79%

12.3ShotsBiggest gap10.6

—xG—

GranadaReal Sociedad W

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

1

Granada

2

Draws

3

Real Sociedad W

Avg goals: 3.3BTTS: 67%

0–32–22–40–21–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

Granada

LLLDW

W

WLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Granada vs Real Sociedad W — Match Preview

Granada face Real Sociedad W on September 6, 2026 in this Primera División Femenina fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Granada host Real Sociedad W at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Granada vs Real Sociedad W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Insights

Style Matchup

Head-to-head

Head to Head

Granada vs Real Sociedad W — Match Preview