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Granada vs FC Levante Badalona W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Granada
Granada
Preview
16:00
FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
3/14/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 22Ciudad Deportiva del Granada
Big match
46%
Granada
model favours
46%25%29%

FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada46%
×Draw25%
FC Levante Badalona W29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Granada
1.58
FC Levante Badalona W
1.20

Granada creates 32% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 60 away

creates per match

Granada
1.22
FC Levante Badalona W
0.88

allows per match

Granada
1.51
FC Levante Badalona W
1.95

finishing

Granada+0.00on par
FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada ↓

FC Levante Badalona W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Granada or draw
71%
Granada or FC Levante Badalona W
75%
Draw or FC Levante Badalona W
54%

Winning margin

Granada wins by 2+
24%
FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Granada 1+ goals
79%
Granada 2+ goals
47%
Granada 3+ goals
21%
FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
70%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
34%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Granada (draw refunded)
61%
FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.51 · 45 matches

FC Levante Badalona W away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.95 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada attack 1.22 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.58

FC Levante Badalona W attack 0.88 + Granada defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Granada scores more
46%
level
25%
FC Levante Badalona W scores more
29%

Granada at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Granada will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Granada
Balanced
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
48%Possession47%
71%Pass accuracy71%
12.0ShotsBiggest gap10.9
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GranadaFC Levante Badalona W

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

3
Granada
1
Draws
2
FC Levante Badalona W
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 33%
4–00–22–01–12–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Granada
LLLDW
W
WLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Granada face FC Levante Badalona W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with Granada hosting FC Levante Badalona W. Match starts March 14, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Granada host FC Levante Badalona W at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.