Granada vs Athletic Club W: Preview & Prediction

Granada

Preview

16:00

Athletic Club W

12/13/2026

Primera División Femenina · Round 14Ciudad Deportiva del Granada

Big match

38%

Granada

model favours

38%26%37%

Granada win just 18% against the top half (vs 59% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

52%

over 2.5 goals

56%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada38%

×Draw26%

Athletic Club W37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GranadaExpected goals in this matchAthletic Club W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

1.36

Granada

1.39

Athletic Club W

1.36

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 45 home / 120 away

1.22

creates per match

1.21

1.51

allows per match

1.55

creates per match

Granada

1.22

Athletic Club W

1.21

allows per match

Granada

1.51

Athletic Club W

1.55

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Granada+0.00on par

Athletic Club W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada ↓

Athletic Club W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Granada or draw

63%

Granada or Athletic Club W

74%

Draw or Athletic Club W

62%

Winning margin

Granada wins by 2+

17%

Athletic Club W wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Granada 1+ goals

75%

Granada 2+ goals

40%

Granada 3+ goals

16%

Athletic Club W 1+ goals

74%

Athletic Club W 2+ goals

39%

Athletic Club W 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Granada (draw refunded)

51%

Athletic Club W (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.51 · 45 matches

Athletic Club W away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.55 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada attack 1.22 + Athletic Club W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.39

Athletic Club W attack 1.21 + Granada defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Granada scores more

38%

level

26%

Athletic Club W scores more

37%

Granada at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Granada will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

Athletic Club W win just 28% against the top half (vs 60% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles

Granada

Balanced

Athletic Club W

Balanced

48%Possession54%

71%Pass accuracy80%

12.0ShotsBiggest gap8.5

—xG—

GranadaAthletic Club W

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

2

Granada

0

Draws

4

Athletic Club W

Avg goals: 2.8BTTS: 50%

2–11–50–21–22–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

Granada

LLLDW

W

WWLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Granada vs Athletic Club W — Match Preview

Granada face Athletic Club W on December 13, 2026 in this Primera División Femenina fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Granada host Athletic Club W at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Granada vs Athletic Club W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Insights

Style Matchup

Head-to-head

Head to Head

Granada vs Athletic Club W — Match Preview