Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Göteborg W vs Sandviken W — Elitettan 2021

Göteborg W
Göteborg W
Preview
12:00
Sandviken W
Sandviken W
8/15/2026ElitettanElitettan · Round 14Gamla Ullevi
65%
Göteborg W
model favours
65%21%14%

Göteborg W sit 3, Sandviken W 13 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
53%
over 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Göteborg W65%
×Draw21%
Sandviken W14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Göteborg W
2.00
Sandviken W
0.80

Göteborg W creates 150% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

Göteborg W
2.20
Sandviken W
0.20

allows per match

Göteborg W
1.40
Sandviken W
1.80

finishing

Göteborg W+0.00on par
Sandviken W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Göteborg W ↓

Sandviken W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Göteborg W or draw
86%
Göteborg W or Sandviken W
79%
Draw or Sandviken W
35%

Winning margin

Göteborg W wins by 2+
40%
Sandviken W wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Göteborg W 1+ goals
86%
Göteborg W 2+ goals
59%
Göteborg W 3+ goals
32%
Sandviken W 1+ goals
55%
Sandviken W 2+ goals
19%
Sandviken W 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Göteborg W (draw refunded)
82%
Sandviken W (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Göteborg W at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

Sandviken W away — creates 0.20, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Göteborg W attack 2.20 + Sandviken W defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.00

Sandviken W attack 0.20 + Göteborg W defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Göteborg W scores more
65%
level
21%
Sandviken W scores more
14%

Göteborg W at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Göteborg W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
WDWWW
W
LLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Göteborg W face Sandviken W (Elitettan)

Elitettan returns with Göteborg W hosting Sandviken W. Match starts August 15, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Göteborg W host Sandviken W at Gamla Ullevi.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.