Getafe 3–0 Levante: Result & Stats | La Liga

Getafe

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Levante

Carles Aleñá 90+5'

E. Ünal 29', 1'

2/4/2022

La Liga · Round 23Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

Getafe43%

×Draw28%

Levante29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GetafeExpected goals in this matchLevante

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

1.03

Getafe

1.30

Levante

1.03

Getafe creates 26% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 19 away

0.90

creates per match

1.18

0.89

allows per match

1.71

creates per match

Getafe

0.90

Levante

1.18

allows per match

Getafe

0.89

Levante

1.71

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

-0.07on par

finishing

Getafe+0.10scores more

Levante-0.07on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Getafe ↓

Levante →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Getafe or draw

71%

Getafe or Levante

72%

Draw or Levante

57%

Winning margin

Getafe wins by 2+

19%

Levante wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Getafe 1+ goals

73%

Getafe 2+ goals

37%

Getafe 3+ goals

14%

Levante 1+ goals

64%

Levante 2+ goals

28%

Levante 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Getafe (draw refunded)

59%

Levante (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Getafe at home — creates 0.90, concedes 0.89 · 27 matches

Levante away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.71 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Getafe attack 0.90 + Levante defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.30

Levante attack 1.18 + Getafe defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Getafe scores more

43%

level

28%

Levante scores more

29%

Getafe at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Getafe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

E. Ünal

Getafe · F

8.5

Match Events

1'

E. Ünal↳ M. Arambarri

17'

Óscar Duarte

29'

E. Ünal↳ M. Olivera

46'

Borja Mayoral← Sandro Ramírez

46'

M. Cáceres← Ó. Duarte

55'

Son← Marc Pubill

55'

Melero← Pepelu

56'

Mauro Arambarri

57'

Roger Martí

60'

Óscar Rodríguez← M. Olivera

66'

Stefan Mitrović

67'

Dani Gómez← E. Bardhi

68'

J. Jankto← E. Ünal

76'

Damián Suárez

81'

M. Malsa← N. Radoja

85'

Diego Conde← David Soria

85'

Juan Iglesias← D. Suárez

90+6'

Jorge Cuenca

90+4'

Son

90+5'

Carles Aleñá↳ Borja Mayoral

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GetafeLevante

Overview

41%Possession59%

14Total Shots11

2Corners8

12Fouls13

Shots

14Total Shots11

8On Target2

4Off Target6

2Blocked3

6Inside Box10

8Outside Box1

Passing

41%Possession59%

383Total Passes541

293Accurate Passes427

77%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

Discipline

12Fouls13

4Yellow Cards3

1Offsides2

Match Recap: Getafe vs Levante

Getafe beat Levante 3-0 in La Liga on February 4, 2022.

Goals: E. Ünal (1', 29'), Carles Aleñá (90+5').

Levante controlled possession (59%) and registered 11 shots to 14.

The match was played at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in Getafe.

Getafe vs Levante — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Getafe vs Levante