Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Gazalkent vs Shortan — Pro League A 2026

Gazalkent
Gazalkent
Preview
13:00
Shortan
Shortan
10/19/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 23
38%
Gazalkent
model favours
38%27%35%

Shortan score first in only 4% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Gazalkent38%
×Draw27%
Shortan35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gazalkent
1.29
Shortan
1.22

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 19 away

creates per match

Gazalkent
1.17
Shortan
1.11

allows per match

Gazalkent
1.33
Shortan
1.42

finishing

Gazalkent+0.00on par
Shortan+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gazalkent ↓

Shortan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Gazalkent or draw
65%
Gazalkent or Shortan
73%
Draw or Shortan
62%

Winning margin

Gazalkent wins by 2+
17%
Shortan wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Gazalkent 1+ goals
72%
Gazalkent 2+ goals
37%
Gazalkent 3+ goals
14%
Shortan 1+ goals
70%
Shortan 2+ goals
34%
Shortan 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Gazalkent (draw refunded)
52%
Shortan (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gazalkent at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Shortan away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.42 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gazalkent attack 1.17 + Shortan defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.29

Shortan attack 1.11 + Gazalkent defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Gazalkent scores more
38%
level
27%
Shortan scores more
35%

Gazalkent at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Gazalkent will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Gazalkent
WWDWL
Shortan
LLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Gazalkent host Shortan

October 19, 2026: Gazalkent take on Shortan in Pro League A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.