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Gazalkent vs Olimpik-Mobiuz — Pro League A 2026

Gazalkent
Gazalkent
Preview
13:00
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Olimpik-Mobiuz
8/14/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 15
41%
Gazalkent
model favours
41%26%33%
1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Gazalkent41%
×Draw26%
Olimpik-Mobiuz33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gazalkent
1.44
Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.25

Gazalkent creates 15% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 30 away

creates per match

Gazalkent
1.17
Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.17

allows per match

Gazalkent
1.33
Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.70

finishing

Gazalkent+0.00on par
Olimpik-Mobiuz+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gazalkent ↓

Olimpik-Mobiuz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Gazalkent or draw
67%
Gazalkent or Olimpik-Mobiuz
74%
Draw or Olimpik-Mobiuz
59%

Winning margin

Gazalkent wins by 2+
20%
Olimpik-Mobiuz wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Gazalkent 1+ goals
76%
Gazalkent 2+ goals
42%
Gazalkent 3+ goals
18%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 1+ goals
71%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2+ goals
36%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Gazalkent (draw refunded)
56%
Olimpik-Mobiuz (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gazalkent at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Olimpik-Mobiuz away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.70 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gazalkent attack 1.17 + Olimpik-Mobiuz defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.44

Olimpik-Mobiuz attack 1.17 + Gazalkent defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Gazalkent scores more
41%
level
26%
Olimpik-Mobiuz scores more
33%

Gazalkent at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Gazalkent will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Gazalkent
WWDWL
Olimpik-Mobiuz
WLWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Gazalkent vs Olimpik-Mobiuz — Match Preview

Gazalkent face Olimpik-Mobiuz on August 14, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.