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Frigg Oslo FK W vs Viking FK W — 1. Division Women 2022

Frigg Oslo FK W
Frigg Oslo FK W
Preview
13:00
Viking FK W
Viking FK W
9/26/20261. Division Women1. Division Women · Round 19
62%
Viking FK W
model favours
19%20%62%
1–2
likely score
66%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Frigg Oslo FK W19%
×Draw20%
Viking FK W62%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Frigg Oslo FK W
1.16
Viking FK W
2.25

Viking FK W creates 94% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 28 away

creates per match

Frigg Oslo FK W
1.00
Viking FK W
1.71

allows per match

Frigg Oslo FK W
2.80
Viking FK W
1.32

finishing

Frigg Oslo FK W+0.00on par
Viking FK W+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Frigg Oslo FK W ↓

Viking FK W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–17%
0–28%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Frigg Oslo FK W or draw
38%
Frigg Oslo FK W or Viking FK W
80%
Draw or Viking FK W
81%

Winning margin

Frigg Oslo FK W wins by 2+
7%
Viking FK W wins by 2+
39%

Team goals

Frigg Oslo FK W 1+ goals
69%
Frigg Oslo FK W 2+ goals
32%
Frigg Oslo FK W 3+ goals
11%
Viking FK W 1+ goals
89%
Viking FK W 2+ goals
65%
Viking FK W 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

Frigg Oslo FK W (draw refunded)
23%
Viking FK W (draw refunded)
77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Frigg Oslo FK W at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

Viking FK W away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.32 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Frigg Oslo FK W attack 1.00 + Viking FK W defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.16

Viking FK W attack 1.71 + Frigg Oslo FK W defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Frigg Oslo FK W scores more
19%
level
20%
Viking FK W scores more
62%

Viking FK W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Viking FK W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
LLLLL
W
WDWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Frigg Oslo FK W host Viking FK W

September 26, 2026: Frigg Oslo FK W take on Viking FK W in 1. Division Women. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.