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Fremad Amager vs B 93 — 2nd Division - Group 1 2018

Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager
Preview
17:00
B 93
B 93
10/2/20262nd Division - Group 12nd Division - Group 1 · Round 10
38%
B 93
model favours
36%26%38%

Fremad Amager score first in only 10% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Fremad Amager36%
×Draw26%
B 9338%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fremad Amager
1.29
B 93
1.34

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 48 home / 48 away

creates per match

Fremad Amager
1.31
B 93
1.71

allows per match

Fremad Amager
0.98
B 93
1.27

finishing

Fremad Amager+0.00on par
B 93+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fremad Amager ↓

B 93 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Fremad Amager or draw
62%
Fremad Amager or B 93
74%
Draw or B 93
64%

Winning margin

Fremad Amager wins by 2+
16%
B 93 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Fremad Amager 1+ goals
72%
Fremad Amager 2+ goals
37%
Fremad Amager 3+ goals
14%
B 93 1+ goals
74%
B 93 2+ goals
39%
B 93 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Fremad Amager (draw refunded)
48%
B 93 (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fremad Amager at home — creates 1.31, concedes 0.98 · 48 matches

B 93 away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.27 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fremad Amager attack 1.31 + B 93 defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.29

B 93 attack 1.71 + Fremad Amager defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Fremad Amager scores more
36%
level
26%
B 93 scores more
38%

B 93 at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "B 93 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Fremad Amager and B 93 have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Amager
DLWL
93
LDWDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Fremad Amager face B 93 (2nd Division - Group 1)

2nd Division - Group 1 returns with Fremad Amager hosting B 93. Match starts October 2, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.