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Fortuna Ålesund W vs LSK Kvinner W — Toppserien 2021

Fortuna Ålesund W
Fortuna Ålesund W
Preview
13:00
LSK Kvinner W
LSK Kvinner W
10/24/2026ToppserienToppserien · Round 20Color Line Stadion
53%
Fortuna Ålesund W
model favours
53%22%25%

LSK Kvinner W score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Fortuna Ålesund W53%
×Draw22%
LSK Kvinner W25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fortuna Ålesund W
1.92
LSK Kvinner W
1.24

Fortuna Ålesund W creates 55% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 65 away

creates per match

Fortuna Ålesund W
2.50
LSK Kvinner W
1.65

allows per match

Fortuna Ålesund W
0.83
LSK Kvinner W
1.34

finishing

Fortuna Ålesund W+0.00on par
LSK Kvinner W+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fortuna Ålesund W ↓

LSK Kvinner W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Fortuna Ålesund W or draw
75%
Fortuna Ålesund W or LSK Kvinner W
78%
Draw or LSK Kvinner W
47%

Winning margin

Fortuna Ålesund W wins by 2+
30%
LSK Kvinner W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Fortuna Ålesund W 1+ goals
85%
Fortuna Ålesund W 2+ goals
57%
Fortuna Ålesund W 3+ goals
30%
LSK Kvinner W 1+ goals
71%
LSK Kvinner W 2+ goals
35%
LSK Kvinner W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Ålesund W (draw refunded)
68%
LSK Kvinner W (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fortuna Ålesund W at home — creates 2.50, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

LSK Kvinner W away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.34 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fortuna Ålesund W attack 2.50 + LSK Kvinner W defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.92

LSK Kvinner W attack 1.65 + Fortuna Ålesund W defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Fortuna Ålesund W scores more
53%
level
22%
LSK Kvinner W scores more
25%

Fortuna Ålesund W at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Fortuna Ålesund W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 73% of LSK Kvinner W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • LSK Kvinner W win just 29% against the top half (vs 65% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WWLWW
W
DLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Fortuna Ålesund W host LSK Kvinner W

October 24, 2026: Fortuna Ålesund W take on LSK Kvinner W in Toppserien. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Fortuna Ålesund W host LSK Kvinner W at Color Line Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.