FK Partizan vs UNA Strassen — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
UNA Strassen are unbeaten in 10 straight
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 3+ matches
FK Partizan57%
UNA Strassen20%✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
FK Partizan creates 91% more chances
Season form · 16 home / 3 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under51
- Over49
Close call
Both teams score
- No51
- Yes49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
FK Partizan ↓
Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
FK Partizan at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.13 · 16 matches
UNA Strassen away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
FK Partizan attack 1.44 + UNA Strassen defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.72
UNA Strassen attack 0.67 + FK Partizan defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.90
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 57%?"
FK Partizan at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 57% does not mean "FK Partizan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- FK Partizan are unbeaten in 5 straight
- 80% of UNA Strassen’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
- FK Partizan score first in only 32% of matches
- UNA Strassen score first in 60% of matches
- FK Partizan and UNA Strassen have never met before
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
No previous meetings found
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
FK Partizan host UNA Strassen on Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 17:00. The match is part of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2026/2027 season.
FK Partizan face UNA Strassen (UEFA Europa Conference League)
UEFA Europa Conference League returns with FK Partizan hosting UNA Strassen. Match starts July 23, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
FK Partizan host UNA Strassen at Stadion Partizana.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.