Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FCSB vs Universitatea Cluj — Liga I 2026

FCSB
FCSB
Preview
17:00
Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
3/6/2027Liga ILiga I · Round 29Arena Nationala
Big match
46%
FCSB
model favours
46%24%30%

Universitatea Cluj score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

FCSB46%
×Draw24%
Universitatea Cluj30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FCSB
1.65
Universitatea Cluj
1.30

FCSB creates 27% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 10 away

creates per match

FCSB
1.89
Universitatea Cluj
1.65

allows per match

FCSB
0.95
Universitatea Cluj
1.41

finishing

FCSB+0.11scores more
Universitatea Cluj+0.25scores more

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FCSB ↓

Universitatea Cluj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

FCSB or draw
70%
FCSB or Universitatea Cluj
76%
Draw or Universitatea Cluj
54%

Winning margin

FCSB wins by 2+
24%
Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

FCSB 1+ goals
81%
FCSB 2+ goals
49%
FCSB 3+ goals
23%
Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals
73%
Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals
37%
Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FCSB (draw refunded)
60%
Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FCSB at home — creates 1.89, concedes 0.95 · 5 matches

Universitatea Cluj away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.41 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FCSB attack 1.89 + Universitatea Cluj defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.65

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.65 + FCSB defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FCSB scores more
46%
level
24%
Universitatea Cluj scores more
30%

FCSB at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FCSB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Even after scoring first, FCSB win only 46%
  • 69% of Universitatea Cluj’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 72% of FCSB’s matches
  • 68% of FCSB’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in only 31% of Universitatea Cluj’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FCSB
Balanced
Universitatea Cluj
Defensively solid
52%Possession50%
80%Pass accuracy82%
10.0Shots11.9
1.76xGBiggest gap1.45
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FCSBUniversitatea Cluj

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

4
FCSB
4
Draws
2
Universitatea Cluj
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 60%
1–32–02–01–02–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
FCSB
WLDDL
Cluj
DDDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FCSB vs Universitatea Cluj — Match Preview

FCSB face Universitatea Cluj on March 6, 2027 in this Liga I fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

FCSB host Universitatea Cluj at Arena Nationala.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.