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FCSB vs Csikszereda — Liga I 2026

FCSB
FCSB
Preview
17:00
Csikszereda
Csikszereda
11/28/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 17Arena Nationala
66%
FCSB
model favours
66%20%14%

Csikszereda score first in only 27% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

FCSB66%
×Draw20%
Csikszereda14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FCSB
2.04
Csikszereda
0.82

FCSB creates 149% more chances

Season form · 155 home / 21 away

creates per match

FCSB
1.85
Csikszereda
0.67

allows per match

FCSB
0.98
Csikszereda
2.24

finishing

FCSB+0.00on par
Csikszereda+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FCSB ↓

Csikszereda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

FCSB or draw
86%
FCSB or Csikszereda
80%
Draw or Csikszereda
34%

Winning margin

FCSB wins by 2+
41%
Csikszereda wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

FCSB 1+ goals
87%
FCSB 2+ goals
60%
FCSB 3+ goals
33%
Csikszereda 1+ goals
56%
Csikszereda 2+ goals
20%
Csikszereda 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

FCSB (draw refunded)
82%
Csikszereda (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FCSB at home — creates 1.85, concedes 0.98 · 155 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.24 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FCSB attack 1.85 + Csikszereda defence 2.24 → ÷2 → 2.04

Csikszereda attack 0.67 + FCSB defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

FCSB scores more
66%
level
20%
Csikszereda scores more
14%

FCSB at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "FCSB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Even after scoring first, FCSB win only 46%
  • Both teams score in 72% of FCSB’s matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (68% and 64% over 2.5)
  • 68% of FCSB’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Their last 3 meetings averaged just 1.3 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
FCSB
WLDDL
Csikszereda
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FCSB vs Csikszereda — Match Preview

FCSB face Csikszereda on November 28, 2026 in this Liga I fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

FCSB host Csikszereda at Arena Nationala.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.