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FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys — Super League 2018

FC Sion
FC Sion
Preview
16:00
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
11/28/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 15Stade de Tourbillon
Big match
43%
BSC Young Boys
model favours
32%25%43%

FC Sion are unbeaten in 9 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 130+ matches

FC Sion32%
×Draw25%
BSC Young Boys43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Sion
1.33
BSC Young Boys
1.57

BSC Young Boys creates 18% more chances

Season form · 130 home / 147 away

creates per match

FC Sion
1.28
BSC Young Boys
1.73

allows per match

FC Sion
1.41
BSC Young Boys
1.38

finishing

FC Sion+0.00on par
BSC Young Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Sion ↓

BSC Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

FC Sion or draw
57%
FC Sion or BSC Young Boys
75%
Draw or BSC Young Boys
68%

Winning margin

FC Sion wins by 2+
14%
BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

FC Sion 1+ goals
74%
FC Sion 2+ goals
38%
FC Sion 3+ goals
15%
BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
79%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
46%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

FC Sion (draw refunded)
43%
BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Sion at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.41 · 130 matches

BSC Young Boys away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.38 · 147 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Sion attack 1.28 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.33

BSC Young Boys attack 1.73 + FC Sion defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

FC Sion scores more
32%
level
25%
BSC Young Boys scores more
43%

BSC Young Boys at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Sion have won 3 in a row
  • BSC Young Boys score first in only 30% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (67% and 65% over 2.5)
  • 67% of FC Sion’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 65% of BSC Young Boys’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Style contrast — FC Sion play Defensively solid, BSC Young Boys Possession-dominant

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Sion
Defensively solid
BSC Young Boys
Possession-dominant
49%Possession58%
80%Pass accuracy80%
12.6Shots15.3
1.78xGBiggest gap1.44
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC SionBSC Young Boys

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5
FC Sion
2
Draws
3
BSC Young Boys
Avg goals: 3.7BTTS: 70%
3–33–12–00–01–5

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Sion
WWWD
Boys
WWDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys — Match Preview

FC Sion face BSC Young Boys on November 28, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

FC Sion host BSC Young Boys at Stade de Tourbillon.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.