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FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers — K League 1 2026

FC Seoul
FC Seoul
Preview
10:30
Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers
7/22/2026K League 1K League 1 · Round 19Seoul World Cup Stadium
Big match
37%
FC Seoul
model favours
37%26%36%

80% of Pohang Steelers’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 135+ matches

FC Seoul37%
×Draw26%
Pohang Steelers36%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Seoul
1.31
Pohang Steelers
1.29

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 135 home / 139 away

creates per match

FC Seoul
1.37
Pohang Steelers
1.37

allows per match

FC Seoul
1.21
Pohang Steelers
1.25

finishing

FC Seoul+0.00on par
Pohang Steelers+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Seoul ↓

Pohang Steelers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

FC Seoul or draw
64%
FC Seoul or Pohang Steelers
74%
Draw or Pohang Steelers
63%

Winning margin

FC Seoul wins by 2+
17%
Pohang Steelers wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

FC Seoul 1+ goals
73%
FC Seoul 2+ goals
38%
FC Seoul 3+ goals
14%
Pohang Steelers 1+ goals
72%
Pohang Steelers 2+ goals
37%
Pohang Steelers 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FC Seoul (draw refunded)
51%
Pohang Steelers (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Seoul at home — creates 1.37, concedes 1.21 · 135 matches

Pohang Steelers away — creates 1.37, concedes 1.25 · 139 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Seoul attack 1.37 + Pohang Steelers defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.31

Pohang Steelers attack 1.37 + FC Seoul defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

FC Seoul scores more
37%
level
26%
Pohang Steelers scores more
36%

FC Seoul at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "FC Seoul will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 20% of Pohang Steelers’s matches
  • Top-of-the-table clash — FC Seoul 1 vs Pohang Steelers 4
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • Pohang Steelers outscore their xG (1.5 vs 1.1 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Seoul
Balanced
Pohang Steelers
Defensively solid
52%Possession51%
82%Pass accuracy81%
12.5ShotsBiggest gap14.4
1.21xG1.13
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC SeoulPohang Steelers

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

3
FC Seoul
3
Draws
4
Pohang Steelers
Avg goals: 3.1BTTS: 70%
1–00–01–24–10–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Seoul
DDWWW
Steelers
LWWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Seoul host Pohang Steelers

July 22, 2026: FC Seoul take on Pohang Steelers in K League 1. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Seoul host Pohang Steelers at Seoul World Cup Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.