Scoreo

FC Levante Badalona W vs Valencia WPrimera División Femenina 2018

12/9/2026Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 13Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
42%
FC Levante Badalona W
model favours
42%26%32%
1–1
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W42%
×Draw26%
Valencia W32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
1.46
Valencia W
1.25

FC Levante Badalona W creates 17% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 105 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Valencia W
0.94

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Valencia W
1.91

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Valencia W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W

Valencia W
0
1
2
3
4
0
007%
018%
025%
032%
041%
1
1010%
1112%
128%
133%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
232%
241%
3
303%
314%
323%
331%
340%
4
401%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
68%
FC Levante Badalona W or Valencia W
74%
Draw or Valencia W
58%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
20%
Valencia W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
77%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
43%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
18%
Valencia W 1+ goals
71%
Valencia W 2+ goals
36%
Valencia W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
56%
Valencia W (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at homecreates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Valencia W awaycreates 0.94, concedes 1.91 · 105 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Valencia W defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 1.46

Valencia W attack 0.94 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
42%
level
26%
Valencia W scores more
32%

FC Levante Badalona W at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Levante Badalona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Valencia W
Balanced
47%Possession45%
71%Pass accuracy70%
10.9ShotsBiggest gap9.9
xG
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WValencia W

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

1
FC Levante Badalona W
4
Draws
1
Valencia W
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 67%
1111301103

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
DDWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Levante Badalona W face Valencia W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with FC Levante Badalona W hosting Valencia W. Match starts December 9, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Levante Badalona W host Valencia W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.