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FC Levante Badalona W vs Sevilla W — Primera División Femenina 2018

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
16:00
Sevilla W
Sevilla W
2/7/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 19Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
41%
FC Levante Badalona W
model favours
41%26%34%

FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W41%
×Draw26%
Sevilla W34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
1.44
Sevilla W
1.28

FC Levante Badalona W creates 13% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 118 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Sevilla W
1.01

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Sevilla W
1.86

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Sevilla W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Sevilla W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
66%
FC Levante Badalona W or Sevilla W
74%
Draw or Sevilla W
59%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
19%
Sevilla W wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
76%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
42%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
18%
Sevilla W 1+ goals
72%
Sevilla W 2+ goals
37%
Sevilla W 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
55%
Sevilla W (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Sevilla W away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.86 · 118 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Sevilla W defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.44

Sevilla W attack 1.01 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
41%
level
26%
Sevilla W scores more
34%

FC Levante Badalona W at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FC Levante Badalona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Sevilla W
Balanced
47%Possession46%
71%Pass accuracyBiggest gap72%
10.9Shots10.9
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WSevilla W

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

2
FC Levante Badalona W
3
Draws
3
Sevilla W
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 38%
5–10–00–01–00–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
DDLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Levante Badalona W host Sevilla W

February 7, 2027: FC Levante Badalona W take on Sevilla W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Levante Badalona W host Sevilla W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.