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FC Levante Badalona W vs Barcelona W — Primera División Femenina 2018

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
16:00
Barcelona W
Barcelona W
11/1/2026Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 9Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
79%
Barcelona W
model favours
7%14%79%

Barcelona W have won 8 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

0–2
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W7%
×Draw14%
Barcelona W79%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
0.68
Barcelona W
2.63

Barcelona W creates 287% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 119 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Barcelona W
3.70

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Barcelona W
0.34

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Barcelona W+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Barcelona W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–110%
0–213%
0–311%
0–47%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–12%
2–23%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (13%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
21%
FC Levante Badalona W or Barcelona W
86%
Draw or Barcelona W
93%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
2%
Barcelona W wins by 2+
57%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
49%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
15%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
3%
Barcelona W 1+ goals
93%
Barcelona W 2+ goals
73%
Barcelona W 3+ goals
48%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
9%
Barcelona W (draw refunded)
91%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Barcelona W away — creates 3.70, concedes 0.34 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Barcelona W defence 0.34 → ÷2 → 0.68

Barcelona W attack 3.70 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 2.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 79%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
7%
level
14%
Barcelona W scores more
79%

Barcelona W at 79% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 79% does not mean "Barcelona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)
  • Their last 8 meetings averaged 5.9 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Barcelona W
Possession-dominant
47%Possession73%
71%Pass accuracy89%
10.9ShotsBiggest gap26.0
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WBarcelona W

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

0
FC Levante Badalona W
0
Draws
8
Barcelona W
Avg goals: 5.9BTTS: 38%
0–61–50–20–62–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Levante Badalona W face Barcelona W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with FC Levante Badalona W hosting Barcelona W. Match starts November 1, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Levante Badalona W host Barcelona W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.