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FC Levante Badalona W vs Atletico Madrid W — Primera División Femenina 2018

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
15:00
Atletico Madrid W
Atletico Madrid W
5/9/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 28Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
54%
Atletico Madrid W
model favours
22%24%54%

FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W22%
×Draw24%
Atletico Madrid W54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Atletico Madrid W
1.73

Atletico Madrid W creates 70% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 118 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Atletico Madrid W
1.92

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Atletico Madrid W
1.02

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Atletico Madrid W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Atletico Madrid W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–111%
0–210%
0–36%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
46%
FC Levante Badalona W or Atletico Madrid W
76%
Draw or Atletico Madrid W
78%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
8%
Atletico Madrid W wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
64%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
27%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
8%
Atletico Madrid W 1+ goals
82%
Atletico Madrid W 2+ goals
52%
Atletico Madrid W 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
29%
Atletico Madrid W (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Atletico Madrid W away — creates 1.92, concedes 1.02 · 118 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Atletico Madrid W defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.02

Atletico Madrid W attack 1.92 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
22%
level
24%
Atletico Madrid W scores more
54%

Atletico Madrid W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Atletico Madrid W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Atletico Madrid W
Possession-dominant
47%PossessionBiggest gap57%
71%Pass accuracy82%
10.9Shots13.1
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WAtletico Madrid W

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

1
FC Levante Badalona W
2
Draws
5
Atletico Madrid W
Avg goals: 3.1BTTS: 63%
2–40–20–51–11–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
LDLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Levante Badalona W host Atletico Madrid W

May 9, 2027: FC Levante Badalona W take on Atletico Madrid W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Levante Badalona W host Atletico Madrid W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.