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FC Levante Badalona W vs Athletic Club W — Primera División Femenina 2018

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
16:00
Athletic Club W
Athletic Club W
2/21/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 21Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
39%
Athletic Club W
model favours
35%26%39%

Athletic Club W have won 6 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W35%
×Draw26%
Athletic Club W39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
1.29
Athletic Club W
1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 60 home / 120 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Athletic Club W
1.21

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Athletic Club W
1.55

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Athletic Club W+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Athletic Club W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
61%
FC Levante Badalona W or Athletic Club W
74%
Draw or Athletic Club W
65%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
15%
Athletic Club W wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
72%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
37%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
14%
Athletic Club W 1+ goals
75%
Athletic Club W 2+ goals
40%
Athletic Club W 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
47%
Athletic Club W (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Athletic Club W away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.55 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Athletic Club W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.29

Athletic Club W attack 1.21 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
35%
level
26%
Athletic Club W scores more
39%

Athletic Club W at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Athletic Club W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Athletic Club W
Balanced
47%Possession53%
71%Pass accuracy79%
10.9ShotsBiggest gap9.2
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WAthletic Club W

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

1
FC Levante Badalona W
1
Draws
6
Athletic Club W
Avg goals: 1.8BTTS: 25%
0–10–00–10–11–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
WWLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Levante Badalona W face Athletic Club W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with FC Levante Badalona W hosting Athletic Club W. Match starts February 21, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Levante Badalona W host Athletic Club W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.