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FC Copenhagen W vs Odense Q W — Kvindeliga 2019

FC Copenhagen W
FC Copenhagen W
Preview
12:00
Odense Q W
Odense Q W
10/18/2026KvindeligaKvindeliga · Round 11
62%
FC Copenhagen W
model favours
62%23%16%
1–0
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FC Copenhagen W62%
×Draw23%
Odense Q W16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Copenhagen W
1.81
Odense Q W
0.79

FC Copenhagen W creates 129% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 32 away

creates per match

FC Copenhagen W
1.40
Odense Q W
1.19

allows per match

FC Copenhagen W
0.40
Odense Q W
2.22

finishing

FC Copenhagen W+0.00on par
Odense Q W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Copenhagen W ↓

Odense Q W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

FC Copenhagen W or draw
84%
FC Copenhagen W or Odense Q W
77%
Draw or Odense Q W
38%

Winning margin

FC Copenhagen W wins by 2+
36%
Odense Q W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

FC Copenhagen W 1+ goals
84%
FC Copenhagen W 2+ goals
54%
FC Copenhagen W 3+ goals
27%
Odense Q W 1+ goals
55%
Odense Q W 2+ goals
19%
Odense Q W 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

FC Copenhagen W (draw refunded)
79%
Odense Q W (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Copenhagen W at home — creates 1.40, concedes 0.40 · 5 matches

Odense Q W away — creates 1.19, concedes 2.22 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Copenhagen W attack 1.40 + Odense Q W defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.81

Odense Q W attack 1.19 + FC Copenhagen W defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

FC Copenhagen W scores more
62%
level
23%
Odense Q W scores more
16%

FC Copenhagen W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "FC Copenhagen W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
WWDWD
W
WDDDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Copenhagen W vs Odense Q W — Match Preview

FC Copenhagen W face Odense Q W on October 18, 2026 in this Kvindeliga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.