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FC Andorra vs Mallorca — Segunda División 2018

FC Andorra
FC Andorra
Preview
16:00
Mallorca
Mallorca
11/8/2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Round 13Estadi de la FAF
38%
FC Andorra
model favours
38%31%31%

Mallorca win just 11% of their away games

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
67%
under 2.5 goals
40%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

FC Andorra38%
×Draw31%
Mallorca31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Andorra
1.07
Mallorca
0.94

FC Andorra creates 14% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 45 away

creates per match

FC Andorra
1.24
Mallorca
0.93

allows per match

FC Andorra
0.94
Mallorca
0.91

finishing

FC Andorra+0.00on par
Mallorca+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Andorra ↓

Mallorca →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–113%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

FC Andorra or draw
69%
FC Andorra or Mallorca
69%
Draw or Mallorca
62%

Winning margin

FC Andorra wins by 2+
15%
Mallorca wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Andorra 1+ goals
66%
FC Andorra 2+ goals
29%
FC Andorra 3+ goals
9%
Mallorca 1+ goals
61%
Mallorca 2+ goals
24%
Mallorca 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

FC Andorra (draw refunded)
55%
Mallorca (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Andorra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.94 · 63 matches

Mallorca away — creates 0.93, concedes 0.91 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Andorra attack 1.24 + Mallorca defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.07

Mallorca attack 0.93 + FC Andorra defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

FC Andorra scores more
38%
level
31%
Mallorca scores more
31%

FC Andorra at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "FC Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 30% of Mallorca’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • FC Andorra and Mallorca have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Andorra
DLLL
Mallorca
WLLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Andorra host Mallorca

November 8, 2026: FC Andorra take on Mallorca in Segunda División. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Andorra host Mallorca at Estadi de la FAF.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.