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FAR Rabat vs Rapide Oued ZEM — Botola Pro 2025

FAR Rabat
FAR Rabat
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
10/20/2019Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 4Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FAR Rabat52%
×Draw27%
Rapide Oued ZEM21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FAR Rabat
1.43
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.79

FAR Rabat creates 81% more chances

Season form · 121 home / 60 away

creates per match

FAR Rabat
1.62
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.72

allows per match

FAR Rabat
0.86
Rapide Oued ZEM
1.23

finishing

FAR Rabat+0.00on par
Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FAR Rabat ↓

Rapide Oued ZEM →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

FAR Rabat or draw
79%
FAR Rabat or Rapide Oued ZEM
73%
Draw or Rapide Oued ZEM
48%

Winning margin

FAR Rabat wins by 2+
26%
Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

FAR Rabat 1+ goals
76%
FAR Rabat 2+ goals
42%
FAR Rabat 3+ goals
17%
Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
55%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
19%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

FAR Rabat (draw refunded)
72%
Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FAR Rabat at home — creates 1.62, concedes 0.86 · 121 matches

Rapide Oued ZEM away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.23 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FAR Rabat attack 1.62 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.43

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 0.72 + FAR Rabat defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

FAR Rabat scores more
52%
level
27%
Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
21%

FAR Rabat at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FAR Rabat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: FAR Rabat 2–0 Rapide Oued ZEM

FAR Rabat beat Rapide Oued ZEM 2-0 in Botola Pro on October 20, 2019.

The match was played at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah in Rabat.