Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ekhaya vs Chitipa United — Super League 2026

Ekhaya
Ekhaya
Preview
12:30
Chitipa United
Chitipa United
1/16/2027Super LeagueSuper League · Round 26
63%
Ekhaya
model favours
63%25%12%

Chitipa United score first in only 6% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
66%
under 2.5 goals
31%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Ekhaya63%
×Draw25%
Chitipa United12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ekhaya
1.54
Chitipa United
0.51

Ekhaya creates 202% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 65 away

creates per match

Ekhaya
1.53
Chitipa United
0.48

allows per match

Ekhaya
0.53
Chitipa United
1.54

finishing

Ekhaya+0.00on par
Chitipa United+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ekhaya ↓

Chitipa United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–110%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Ekhaya or draw
88%
Ekhaya or Chitipa United
75%
Draw or Chitipa United
37%

Winning margin

Ekhaya wins by 2+
34%
Chitipa United wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Ekhaya 1+ goals
79%
Ekhaya 2+ goals
45%
Ekhaya 3+ goals
20%
Chitipa United 1+ goals
40%
Chitipa United 2+ goals
9%
Chitipa United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Ekhaya (draw refunded)
84%
Chitipa United (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ekhaya at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.53 · 19 matches

Chitipa United away — creates 0.48, concedes 1.54 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ekhaya attack 1.53 + Chitipa United defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.54

Chitipa United attack 0.48 + Ekhaya defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Ekhaya scores more
63%
level
25%
Chitipa United scores more
12%

Ekhaya at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Ekhaya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 25% of Chitipa United’s matches
  • 69% of Chitipa United’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Chitipa United win just 19% against the top half (vs 48% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Ekhaya
DWDWW
United
DWLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ekhaya vs Chitipa United — Match Preview

Ekhaya face Chitipa United on January 16, 2027 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.