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Eintracht Bamberg vs DJK Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
Preview
16:15
DJK Bamberg
DJK Bamberg
4/27/2027Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 30
66%
Eintracht Bamberg
model favours
66%19%15%

DJK Bamberg win just 17% against the top half (vs 44% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Eintracht Bamberg66%
×Draw19%
DJK Bamberg15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Bamberg
2.28
DJK Bamberg
0.99

Eintracht Bamberg creates 130% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 17 away

creates per match

Eintracht Bamberg
2.21
DJK Bamberg
1.06

allows per match

Eintracht Bamberg
0.91
DJK Bamberg
2.35

finishing

Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par
DJK Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Bamberg ↓

DJK Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Eintracht Bamberg or draw
85%
Eintracht Bamberg or DJK Bamberg
81%
Draw or DJK Bamberg
34%

Winning margin

Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
43%
DJK Bamberg wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
90%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
66%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
39%
DJK Bamberg 1+ goals
63%
DJK Bamberg 2+ goals
26%
DJK Bamberg 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
81%
DJK Bamberg (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Bamberg at home — creates 2.21, concedes 0.91 · 33 matches

DJK Bamberg away — creates 1.06, concedes 2.35 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Bamberg attack 2.21 + DJK Bamberg defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 2.28

DJK Bamberg attack 1.06 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Eintracht Bamberg scores more
66%
level
19%
DJK Bamberg scores more
15%

Eintracht Bamberg at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Eintracht Bamberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Bamberg
LWDL
Bamberg
LDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Eintracht Bamberg vs DJK Bamberg — Match Preview

Eintracht Bamberg face DJK Bamberg on April 27, 2027 in this Oberliga - Bayern Nord fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.