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Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne — Premier League 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
FT
3 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Veres Rivne
Veres Rivne
N. Voloshyn 90+3'
D. Garmash 89'
E. Ramírez 49'
5/29/2023Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 29Stadion Avangard

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv59%
×Draw22%
Veres Rivne20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
1.98
Veres Rivne
1.06

Dynamo Kyiv creates 87% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 10 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
2.44
Veres Rivne
1.27

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
0.86
Veres Rivne
1.53

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv-0.64scores less
Veres Rivne-0.47scores less

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Veres Rivne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
80%
Dynamo Kyiv or Veres Rivne
78%
Draw or Veres Rivne
41%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
35%
Veres Rivne wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
86%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
59%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
31%
Veres Rivne 1+ goals
65%
Veres Rivne 2+ goals
29%
Veres Rivne 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
75%
Veres Rivne (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 2.44, concedes 0.86 · 5 matches

Veres Rivne away — creates 1.27, concedes 1.53 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.44 + Veres Rivne defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.98

Veres Rivne attack 1.27 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
59%
level
22%
Veres Rivne scores more
20%

Dynamo Kyiv at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
Serhiy Sydorchuk
38'
Maksym Diachuk
46'
O. Tymchyk← Benito
49'
E. Ramírez↳ O. Karavaev
56'
O. Lebedenko← S. Sharay
65'
N. Voloshyn← V. Kabaev
65'
D. Garmash← E. Ramírez
66'
V. Sharay← A. Bliznichenko
66'
M. Shestakov← M. Gayduchyk
73'
V. Dakhnovskyi← H. Pasich
73'
D. Godya← D. Klyots
77'
M. Shaparenko← O. Andrievskyi
77'
A. Tsarenko← V. Buyalskyi
82'
Mykola Shaparenko
89'
D. Garmash↳ V. Dubinchak
90+3'
N. Voloshyn↳ O. Karavaev

Possession

56%Dynamo

Shots

11Dynamo

Statistics

DynamoVeres
Overview
56%Possession44%
11Total Shots8
5Corners1
11Fouls8
Shots
11Total Shots8
5On Target3
5Off Target3
1Blocked2
Passing
56%Possession44%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
11Fouls8
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
1Offsides2

Premier League: Dynamo Kyiv 3–0 Veres Rivne

Dynamo Kyiv beat Veres Rivne 3-0 in Premier League on May 29, 2023.

Goals: E. Ramírez (49'), D. Garmash (89'), N. Voloshyn (90+3').

Dynamo Kyiv controlled possession (56%) and registered 11 shots to 8.

The match was played at Stadion Avangard in Rivne.