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Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
FT
3 – 0
Veres Rivne
Veres Rivne
8/7/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3NTB Dynamo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv60%
×Draw22%
Veres Rivne17%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
1.85
Veres Rivne
0.88

Dynamo Kyiv creates 110% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 10 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
2.41
Veres Rivne
0.70

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
1.06
Veres Rivne
1.30

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par
Veres Rivne+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Veres Rivne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
83%
Dynamo Kyiv or Veres Rivne
78%
Draw or Veres Rivne
40%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
35%
Veres Rivne wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
84%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
55%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
28%
Veres Rivne 1+ goals
59%
Veres Rivne 2+ goals
22%
Veres Rivne 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
77%
Veres Rivne (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 2.41, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

Veres Rivne away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.41 + Veres Rivne defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.85

Veres Rivne attack 0.70 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
60%
level
22%
Veres Rivne scores more
17%

Dynamo Kyiv at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne

Dynamo Kyiv beat Veres Rivne 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 7, 2020.

The match was played at NTB Dynamo in Koncha-Zaspa.